Opening Remarks from Richard G. Reiten, Chairman & CEO, NW Natural; Chair, Oregon Business Plan Steering Committee

May 27, 2003 -- Leadership Summit Update Meeting

Good afternoon. It's good to see you all here. I'm Dick Reiten, chair of the Oregon Business Plan Steering Committee. Thank you for joining us for this Leadership Summit Update. I also want to thank the distinguished guests with us today: Senator Ron Wyden, Senate President Peter Courtney, and House Speaker Karen Minnis. Governor Kulongoski will join us later this afternoon.

Doesn't time fly? Just last December 9, more than thirteen hundred Oregonians came together in Portland to consider the business community's blueprint for our state’s economic future. In that plan, we pledged to step up to the challenge. Today we're here to see how we're doing so far and what we need to do next to keep this good work going.

First, though, a quick overview of what's transpired since the December summit. Here are some highlights of the economy, the fiscal outlook, and what's happened with the Oregon Business Plan.

The Economy. Not good but not all bad, either.

  • Surprisingly, Oregon had the 16th best employment growth rate in the nation between November 2001 and November 2002.

  • But that may not hold. The state forecast has lowered state and national employment growth rates to 1.7 percent, way down from 2.5 percent projected earlier this year.

  • Our unemployment has hit 8 percent, the highest in the nation.

  • Still, our employment decline is less than 13 other states, including powerhouses such as Michigan, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts, and North Carolina.

  • In high tech, the Portland area has seen a 12 percent employment drop, but that's better than the tech sector in Seattle, San Jose, Denver, Phoenix, and Austin. 

The Fiscal Outlook. In a word, grim.

The May revenue forecast for the 2003-05 biennium is $9.8, another $650 million hit that puts us 3 percent below General Fund revenue in the 1999-2001 biennium.

The causes are lower personal income tax revenues, including smaller capital gains.

Economists say it's hard to predict when or how the economy will rebound, but the irony is that if we adopt a $9.8 billion budget and then do better than expected with revenue receipts, it could trigger the kicker at a time when services have been decimated by cuts.

The Oregon Business Plan. The news here is better.

Stepping Up, the document that captures our vision for the future, has been covered and praised widely in the media, and it has been endorsed by a variety of business organizations. These include:

  • American Electronics Association, Oregon Council

  • Associated Oregon Industries

  • Oregon Business Association

  • Oregon Business Council

  • Portland Business Alliance

  • Medford Chamber

Our political leaders have embraced many elements of the plan, as well.  You'll see the plan's influence in the Governor's economic agenda, in the House Republican Economic program initiated by Speaker Minnis, and in Senators Wyden and Smith's agenda for this Congress.

As we have tracked progress over the past six months, we find many of the proposals set forth in the plan have been translated into legislation and administrative action. We've done a lot in six months, and we'll look at that in the breakout sessions to follow, but there is much more to do, a subject of equal importance in the breakouts.

It's helpful to remember what's at stake and why we're doing this? As I suggested in opening the December meeting, Oregon stands at an economic crossroad. Powerful changes sweeping the global economy give is a choice of two futures.

One path presents an Oregon defined by thriving businesses that lead their industries in innovation, market reach, and staying power. This path heralds a future of well paying jobs that resist migration and sustain communities.  

On the other path, Oregon becomes a regional consumer market and a branch-office outpost for industries where key ideas and decisions occur elsewhere.  We become vulnerable to competitors off shore and cheaper sources of labor and supply.

In our report, Stepping Up, the business community asserts that Oregon can take the higher path.  In the course of putting this plan together, we talked with many companies that were developing great products that compete with the best in the globe, in everything from agriculture and wood products, to high technology and sports apparel.  

We also asserted that continued growth by leading edge companies would not happen by accident.  They need certain conditions, a framework if you will, to thrive. We've defined that framework as the 4 Ps Pioneering Innovation, People, Place and Productivity. Parenthetically, we also describe a 5th P -- Public Finance that underscores the framework.

Today we're going to look closely at how we're supporting the 4 Ps framework with the 12 initiatives we identified in December.

Remember, none of these is a short-term fix for Oregon’s economy.  Each is a building block in the 4 Ps, which are, in turn, building blocks that enable Oregon companies to be globally competitive, export their products and services, and create well paying jobs for Oregonians.  That's the path to prosperity.  It requires a long-range view of how our changing economy works, and it requires disciplined public commitment and investment.

Let me return to the theme of the report, Stepping Up, a vision for the economic future of Oregon.

With the current state budget crisis, it would be easy to "step away" from the strategic planning and positioning of our state – a vision for a prosperous Oregon. And it is imperative that we meet the challenges of the 2003-2005 budget.

However, every successful business or organization goes through difficult times. Those who look to the future, who continue to think strategically while meeting current challenges, emerge as successful survivors. We believe that will be the end result for our state and why this effort and your continued involvement is so important. Thank you for being here.

Now I'd like to introduce Senator Wyden, who first proposed the idea of these summits.

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